Fans of Newcastle United are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's side as a fickle companion. When everything clicks, they can be the undisputed entertainers, delivering high-intensity displays. Yet, on other occasions, key individuals like Sandro Tonali and others simply go missing.
Adding to the frustration is a second-half approach suffused by a distinct tendency of panic. Ahead of their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the statistics tell a concerning story: they have squandered thirteen vital top-flight points from leading positions this term and are yet to keep a clean sheet in 10 consecutive games across all competitions. Securing a win at Old Trafford would represent only their second league triumph on the road this season.
Conversely, a loss has only come once in their last six league fixtures, and despite sitting in a modest 11th spot, they remain a mere six marks off the coveted top four. Consider an looming two-part Carabao Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a reasonable opportunity of moving on to the European Cup knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to see the manager's measured optimism.
“It's not only about problems,” said the club's boss. “There are assets too. I am very much positive right now. I understand outside observers might have a different opinion, but I feel we are making progress.”
The challenge remains: will this group match – or perhaps exceed – the successes of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Managing a packed calendar hinders.
The resulting tiredness might explain the inability to sustain a brilliant opening 45-minute showing against Chelsea, eventually surrendering a 2-0 lead to tie 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the reason for a poor display in a painful defeat to local rivals Sunderland, where the team appeared sluggish just a short time after a grueling Champions League away day.
Although on-field instruction is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless schedule of twice-weekly matches has severely reduced crucial practice sessions. This hinders the squad's stylistic adjustment to playing with new striker their number nine leading the line, rather than the now departed Alexander Isak. While extremely skilled, the German forward lacks the equivalent blistering counter-attacking pace or intense defensive work rate.
In fact, the team's once-formidable pressing game has occasionally failed. Fitness issues to key cog the Brazilian midfielder have been a factor, while expensive signings the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have found it tough settling since their big-money transfers.
While a move to a 3-5-2 might arguably assist the cause, a worsening defensive injury crisis makes that difficult. Important full-backs will be missing for the next crucial matches, challenging the team's depth.
When playing at their ferocious best, they appear virtually unplayable. The issue is maintaining that intensity for the entire 90 minutes. The typical alternative approach of sitting back into a passive counter-attacking shape has sometimes proven counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match descended into disorganized at 2-2,” conceded the coach. “But we were going for the victory. Our mentality is to always go out to win.”
What appears necessary is a middle ground – with superior ball control, a midfield adept of controlling the pace, and a realistic readiness to sometimes accept a draw. Yet, a desire to compete on every fronts is testing finite squad options to their breaking point.
It may appear unthinkable to some, but a more selective strategy in the domestic cups in the initial stages could have eased the present schedule congestion. Amid critical European and league games on the agenda, the need to carefully choose focus areas is becoming increasingly apparent.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the magnitude of the journey ahead. “When you're at a club of this size, the pressures are big. Each game is critical. We have work to do in the league. We are in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to progress in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have lots of work to do to transform into the consistently winning team we want to be. Our capacity to put winning runs has escaped us so far.
“The objective is to attain that standard we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the self-belief to achieve it is growing. Yet nowadays we have to prove it. It's not all bad in this moment, but the next few weeks will determine much.”
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